Almagro 0-2 Colon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.9pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Colon EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.77/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.20
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Colon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
04.05.2024 Colon Colon 3-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
20.03.2005 Almagro Almagro 0-5 HT 0-2 Colon Colon ARJ
19.09.2004 Colon Colon 0-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJ
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Colon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colon saw off Almagro 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colon as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colon led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Almagro and 2.67 for Colon.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Colon?

Almagro 0-2 Colon in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Colon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almagro 28%, draw 31%, Colon 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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