Atletico Rafaela 0-0 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.66
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.25
Over 2.5
33%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.67
No
65%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
76%
-9.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
24%
+9.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
33%
+1.3pp
65%
BTTS No
67%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
0.90/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.67
-15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Corners 5
04.05.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
04.09.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
22.04.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
29.03.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Rafaela and Deportivo Madryn fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Rafaela had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 0.50 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Madryn?

Atletico Rafaela 0-0 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 30%, draw 31%, Deportivo Madryn 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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