Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.05
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
13%
6.19
X/2
11%
5.21
X/X
11%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
22%
3.18
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.48/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.43
+47% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
15.7 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.78 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 Passes 346
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 3-2 HT 3-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
07.04.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
04.12.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
27.08.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
12.03.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
02.10.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 2-3 HT 1-2 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
2-2
AWAY Hartberg
2.85 xG 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
377 Passes 376
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt and Hartberg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 51% of the ball to Hartberg's 49%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.85 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 1.33 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Hartberg?

Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 30%, draw 29%, Hartberg 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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