Al Riffa 3-0 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
28%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-16.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
14%
+13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.58/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.40
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 3-3 HT 2-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
23.09.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
14.03.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
22.12.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
09.04.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
16.01.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa ran out comfortable winners over Al Najma 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Riffa and 1.00 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Al Najma?

Al Riffa 3-0 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 49%, draw 23%, Al Najma 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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