East Riffa 1-2 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.81
No
62%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 35% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.3pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Malkiya
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 2-2 HT 2-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
23.04.2021 East Riffa East Riffa 3-0 HT 1-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
30.03.2021 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 1-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK
09.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 2-4 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Riffa
1-2
AWAY Malkiya
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malkiya nicked a narrow win over East Riffa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Malkiya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, East Riffa had 54% of the ball to Malkiya's 46%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, East Riffa had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for East Riffa and 1.25 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Malkiya?

East Riffa 1-2 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 40%, draw 27%, Malkiya 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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