Sitra 2-1 AAli FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 24% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AAli FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
2-1
AWAY AAli FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sitra vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra edged past AAli FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sitra as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sitra had 53% of the ball to AAli FC's 47%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Sitra vs AAli FC?

Sitra 2-1 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs AAli FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sitra 41%, draw 26%, AAli FC 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sitra), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sitra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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