Malacateco 1-0 Coban Imperial — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.20/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.25
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Coban Imperial
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
28.01.2024 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 4-2 HT 2-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
10.09.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
07.05.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
05.03.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
30.10.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
1-0
AWAY Coban Imperial
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Coban Imperial 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Malacateco made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Malacateco had 61% of the ball to Coban Imperial's 39%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malacateco and 1.50 for Coban Imperial.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Coban Imperial?

Malacateco 1-0 Coban Imperial in the Guatemala - National League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Coban Imperial?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 37%, draw 29%, Coban Imperial 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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