Ards FC 3-1 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.54
2-3 Goals
34%
2.14
4-5 Goals
30%
2.5
6+ Goals
10%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
55%
Away Win
52%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.6pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.34/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.00
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
18.11.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-3 HT 0-3 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
12.11.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-5 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.08.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-2 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
26.03.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 HT 3-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
14.08.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC got the better of Harland & Wolff Welders 3-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Harland & Wolff Welders at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ards FC and 1.17 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ards FC 3-1 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 22%, draw 23%, Harland & Wolff Welders 55%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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