Atlas 0-1 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +14%
1.74/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.61
-34% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.7 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Queretaro
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.86 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Atlas Atlas 2-3 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
31.08.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
23.01.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 3-3 HT 2-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
05.08.2022 Atlas Atlas 3-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
06.03.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-3 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
05.11.2021 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
0-1
AWAY Queretaro
1.02 xG 1.03
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
536 Passes 182
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 20
45 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro edged past Atlas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atlas at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atlas had 71% of the ball to Queretaro's 29%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.02 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Atlas and 1.33 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Queretaro?

Atlas 0-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atlas 50%, draw 26%, Queretaro 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atlas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlas) ✓ BTTS No
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