Fana 5-3 Froya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

Fana
5-3 HT 2-3
Froya
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
4.0
Over 2.5
72%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.2pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+12.8pp
28%
Under 2.5
22%
+6.9pp
72%
Over 2.5
78%
-6.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fana EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Froya EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
3.43/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/3.20
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Froya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.05.2022 Froya Froya 2-2 Fana Fana NOK
POST-MATCH Fana vs Froya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fana beat Froya 5-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fana as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Fana vs Froya?

Fana 5-3 Froya in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fana vs Froya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fana win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fana 60%, draw 16%, Froya 24%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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