Vindbjart 4-2 Vidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.14
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vidar EU Bookmakers 66%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.09/2.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.37/1.56
-31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vindbjart
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vidar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.05.2024 Vidar Vidar 2-1 HT 1-0 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
02.10.2021 Vidar Vidar 2-0 HT 1-0 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
POST-MATCH Vindbjart vs Vidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vindbjart beat Vidar 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vidar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vidar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vindbjart and 2.00 for Vidar.

What was the final score of Vindbjart vs Vidar?

Vindbjart 4-2 Vidar in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vindbjart vs Vidar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vidar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vindbjart 28%, draw 22%, Vidar 50%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vidar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vidar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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