Ullern 1-2 Oppsal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.89
Over 2.5
46%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.38
No
60%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
6.64
2-3 Goals
45%
2.14
4-5 Goals
19%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.64 — our 24% vs market 10.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
31%
+23.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
69%
-23.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
68%
-28.7pp
60%
BTTS No
32%
+28.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullern EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Oppsal EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.44
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
473 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullern
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oppsal
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.05.2019 Oppsal Oppsal 3-5 HT 3-0 Ullern Ullern NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullern
1-2
AWAY Oppsal
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ullern vs Oppsal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oppsal nicked a narrow win over Ullern 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 18% / 40% — and on the day Oppsal made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ullern had 58% of the ball to Oppsal's 42%, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of Ullern vs Oppsal?

Ullern 1-2 Oppsal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullern vs Oppsal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ullern 42%, draw 18%, Oppsal 40%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ullern) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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