Akron 2-5 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 33% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.38
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
5%
15.45
X/1
5%
9.6
X/2
14%
3.97
X/X
19%
5.21
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.17
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 59%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.74/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.33
-52% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -36%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
21.5 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
2-5
AWAY Krasnodar
1.01 xG 2.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 8
258 Passes 408
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Akron vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar ran out comfortable winners over Akron 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Akron had 41% of the ball to Krasnodar's 59%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.01 to 2.60.

What was the final score of Akron vs Krasnodar?

Akron 2-5 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Akron 22%, draw 30%, Krasnodar 49%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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