Rubin Kazan 1-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.87
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
12%
6.3
X/2
22%
4.6
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.14
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.08/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.11
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
13.4 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
273 Passes 408
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
21.10.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
20.03.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 6-1 HT 4-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
30.10.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
29.11.2020 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
22.08.2020 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
1-1
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.07 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
260 Passes 422
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan and CSKA Moskova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 41% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 59%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.07 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.50 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moskova?

Rubin Kazan 1-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 29%, draw 29%, CSKA Moskova 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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