Amed SK 1-1 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 36% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
16%
3.7
X/2
8%
9.48
X/X
17%
4.55
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
8%
8.12
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
55%
-7.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Boluspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
1-1
AWAY Boluspor
1.13 xG 1.14
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
427 Passes 196
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK and Boluspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Amed SK at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Amed SK had 64% of the ball to Boluspor's 36%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.13 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Boluspor?

Amed SK 1-1 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 47%, draw 32%, Boluspor 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amed SK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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