Pendikspor 0-1 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
14%
3.93
X/2
12%
8.55
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
12%
6.9
2/X
10%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.49/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.32
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 66%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.1 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.73 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
536 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
28.08.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-2 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
28.10.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 3-1 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
25.10.2016 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
0-1
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.05 xG 1.21
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
440 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği squeezed past Pendikspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pendikspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Pendikspor had 66% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 34%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.05 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pendikspor and 1.50 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Pendikspor 0-1 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 42%, draw 28%, Gençlerbirliği 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pendikspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Under 2.5
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