Nanjing City 1-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 33% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.14/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.03
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
14.2 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
228 Passes 197
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 2-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
11.05.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-3 HT 1-3 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
31.08.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
25.08.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
13.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
06.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 3-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
1-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.63 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City and Foshan Nanshi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nanjing City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Nanjing City had 55% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 45%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.63 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nanjing City and 1.17 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi?

Nanjing City 1-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 41%, draw 27%, Foshan Nanshi 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nanjing City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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