IK Sirius 1-3 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Sep 2025

IK Sirius
1-3 HT 1-0
Degerfors
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IK Sirius vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.94
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
16%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
4.2
X/2
5%
10.8
X/X
9%
6.56
2/1
9%
19.2
2/2
7%
7.94
2/X
4%
16.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.2 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
60%
+3.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +14%
2.07/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.89
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.9 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

IK Sirius vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Degerfors
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.95 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
418 Passes 342
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
01.10.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-2 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
15.07.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 0-3 HT 0-2 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
08.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
17.07.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
18.09.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IK Sirius 1-3 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
1-3
AWAY Degerfors
1.44 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
409 Passes 340
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors beat IK Sirius 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had IK Sirius at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, IK Sirius had 53% of the ball to Degerfors's 47%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured IK Sirius.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for IK Sirius and 0.67 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Degerfors?

IK Sirius 1-3 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 63%, draw 20%, Degerfors 17%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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