Hammarby 4-0 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.58
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.43
X/2
11%
9.76
X/X
8%
6.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
18.6
2/2
10%
6.69
2/X
6%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.6 — our 13% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.79/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.57
+19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.0 Crosses 12.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hacken
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
420 Passes 425
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.09.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-0 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
21.04.2024 Hacken Hacken 2-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
08.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
09.04.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
17.09.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
4-0
AWAY Hacken
3.69 xG 1.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
443 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby ran out comfortable winners over Hacken 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Hammarby had 60% of the ball to Hacken's 40%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 3.69 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hammarby and 1.50 for Hacken.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Hacken?

Hammarby 4-0 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 52%, draw 20%, Hacken 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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