Hacken 1-1 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.2
1/2
6%
24.65
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.32
X/2
18%
5.38
X/X
9%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.28
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 6% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
1.69/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.17
+33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
16.0 Crosses 18.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
420 Passes 416
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-0 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
21.04.2024 Hacken Hacken 2-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
08.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
09.04.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
17.09.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.06.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
1-1
AWAY Hammarby
2.28 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
344 Passes 440
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken and Hammarby couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hacken had 45% of the ball to Hammarby's 55%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.28 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hacken and 1.50 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Hammarby?

Hacken 1-1 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hacken 33%, draw 22%, Hammarby 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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