AIK 2-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Apr 2025

AIK
2-0 HT 2-0
Elfsborg
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

AIK vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
5.11
6+ Goals
10%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.19
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.68
X/2
11%
6.69
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
14%
5.48
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.72/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.48
-10% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.4 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

AIK vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.45 xG 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
388 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2024 AIK AIK 2-1 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
15.05.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 6-1 HT 3-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
23.10.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
11.06.2023 AIK AIK 1-2 HT 0-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
06.11.2022 AIK AIK 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
10.07.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ

AIK 2-0 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-0
AWAY Elfsborg
1.51 xG 0.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
306 Passes 473
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AIK vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK beat Elfsborg 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AIK had 40% of the ball to Elfsborg's 60%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.51 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AIK and 2.50 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of AIK vs Elfsborg?

AIK 2-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AIK 42%, draw 28%, Elfsborg 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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