Mjallby 4-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Apr 2025

Mjallby
4-1 HT 3-0
Degerfors
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Mjallby vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.1
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
9%
3.94
X/2
7%
10.45
X/X
16%
5.06
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
12%
9.06
2/X
5%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjallby v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +12%
1.63/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.76
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.1 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Mjallby vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Degerfors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.67 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
348 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
16.04.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
10.09.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
23.07.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
28.08.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 0-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.05.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ

Mjallby 4-1 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
4-1
AWAY Degerfors
1.64 xG 1.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
493 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby cruised past Degerfors 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjallby had 58% of the ball to Degerfors's 42%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.64 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mjallby and 0.33 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Degerfors?

Mjallby 4-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 49%, draw 26%, Degerfors 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ BTTS Yes
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