IK Sirius 1-1 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Apr 2025

IK Sirius
1-1 HT 1-1
Halmstad
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IK Sirius vs Halmstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.06
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1
10%
23.75
2/2
12%
8.93
2/X
6%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Halmstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.64
+27% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.3 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

IK Sirius vs Halmstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Halmstad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.09
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
522 Passes 251
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 3-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
01.04.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
02.09.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-1 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
21.05.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
27.09.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 1-1 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
18.04.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ

IK Sirius 1-1 Halmstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
1-1
AWAY Halmstad
0.56 xG 1.12
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
419 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius and Halmstad shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was IK Sirius at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 61% of the ball to Halmstad's 39%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.56 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IK Sirius and 1.33 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Halmstad?

IK Sirius 1-1 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 52%, draw 22%, Halmstad 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✗ BTTS No
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