Halmstad 3-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.69
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1 EV+
16%
7.76
X/2
13%
4.38
X/X
14%
4.9
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.56
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-11.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.20
+2% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 83%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
16.9 Crosses 21.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 522
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
02.09.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-1 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
21.05.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
27.09.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 1-1 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
18.04.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
23.02.2019 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-2 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
3-1
AWAY IK Sirius
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad saw off IK Sirius 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Halmstad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Halmstad had 42% of the ball to IK Sirius's 58%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Halmstad and 1.33 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs IK Sirius?

Halmstad 3-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 36%, draw 26%, IK Sirius 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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