Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.96
1/2
5%
20.75
1/X
6%
15.35
X/1
10%
9.78
X/2
18%
4.06
X/X
10%
6.01
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.08
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 60%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
2.26/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.08
-100% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
43.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.5
30.1 Crosses 22.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.96
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
285 Passes 493
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
21.02.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-1
AWAY Malmö FF
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK and Malmö FF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 50% of the ball to Malmö FF's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.00 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Malmö FF?

Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 28%, draw 21%, Malmö FF 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Halmstad vs IK Sirius Analysis →
16:00 Elfsborg vs Hacken Analysis →