Elfsborg 1-3 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Oct 2024

Elfsborg
1-3 HT 0-1
Hacken
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Elfsborg vs Hacken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.93
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
24%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.27
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.6
X/2
9%
8.75
X/X
13%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.8
2/2
12%
5.47
2/X
5%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.2pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Hacken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.6 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Elfsborg vs Hacken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hacken
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.50 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
321 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.07.2024 Hacken Hacken 3-5 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
29.07.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.04.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
31.07.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-4 HT 2-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
03.07.2022 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
13.09.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 4-2 HT 1-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ

Elfsborg 1-3 Hacken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
1-3
AWAY Hacken
2.86 xG 0.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
375 Passes 500
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
34 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken saw off Elfsborg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 45% of the ball to Hacken's 55%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.86 to 0.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Elfsborg.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Elfsborg and 2.50 for Hacken.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Hacken?

Elfsborg 1-3 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 47%, draw 25%, Hacken 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elfsborg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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