Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
A gentle 47% lean on Rayo Vallecano didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in Rayo Vallecano's favour, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.08 to 0.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Rayo Vallecano against 0.83 for Celta Vigo.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Result & Final Score
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 47%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) went the other way.