Ceuta vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceuta v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals
Ceuta 1-0 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics
Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Real Zaragoza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ceuta had 54% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 46%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.42 to 1.25 — on chances, Real Zaragoza could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Ceuta vs Real Zaragoza?
Ceuta 1-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Real Zaragoza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 45%, draw 25%, Real Zaragoza 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.