Eibar 2-1 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 33% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.97
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.8
X/1
20%
3.73
X/2
6%
11.35
X/X
7%
4.64
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
10.5
2/X
7%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.67/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.52
-2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
22.7 Crosses 11.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
324 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.12.2021 Eibar Eibar 3-2 HT 2-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS2
11.09.2021 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-3 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-1
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.78 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
360 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar had 51% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 49%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.78 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Eibar and 2.00 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Real Sociedad II?

Eibar 2-1 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Eibar 62%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad II 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
21 Sep 2025
15:00 Ceuta vs Real Zaragoza Analysis →
17:15 Albacete vs Valladolid Analysis →
19:30 Malaga vs Cadiz Analysis →
22:00 Cordoba vs Racing Santander Analysis →