Malaga 0-1 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2025

Malaga
0-1 HT 0-1
Cadiz
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Malaga vs Cadiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.57
X/2
7%
6.84
X/X
12%
3.84
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
13%
5.58
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Cadiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.37/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.68
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.6 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Malaga vs Cadiz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cadiz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Malaga Malaga 0-2 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
12.10.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 2-2 HT 2-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
23.07.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-2 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz HAZ
16.02.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
12.10.2019 Malaga Malaga 1-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
10.08.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga HAZ

Malaga 0-1 Cadiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
0-1
AWAY Cadiz
1.32 xG 0.99
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
399 Passes 223
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz edged past Malaga 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Malaga at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Malaga had 61% of the ball to Cadiz's 39%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.32 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malaga and 1.50 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Cadiz?

Malaga 0-1 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Malaga 47%, draw 27%, Cadiz 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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