Puente Genil 1-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
25%
+11.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puente Genil EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 53%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.51
+109% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +78%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puente Genil
1-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Puente Genil vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puente Genil and UCAM Murcia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Puente Genil had 54% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 46%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Puente Genil vs UCAM Murcia?

Puente Genil 1-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puente Genil vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puente Genil 36%, draw 24%, UCAM Murcia 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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