UD Logrones 1-0 Ebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.67
No
45%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
60%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
33%
+21.5pp
45%
BTTS No
67%
-21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebro EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.78/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.23
+6% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
1-0
AWAY Ebro
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Ebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones edged past Ebro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Logrones had 66% of the ball to Ebro's 34%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Ebro?

UD Logrones 1-0 Ebro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Ebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 63%, draw 24%, Ebro 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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