SS Reyes 3-1 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.78/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.02
+37% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 SS Reyes SS Reyes 2-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
22.12.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 2-0 HT 1-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
31.03.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
19.11.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
20.01.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
3-1
AWAY Navalcarnero
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes got the better of Navalcarnero 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SS Reyes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Reyes had 46% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 54%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for SS Reyes and 0.80 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero?

SS Reyes 3-1 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 46%, draw 24%, Navalcarnero 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Reyes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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