SS Reyes 2-0 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 2-0 HT 1-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
31.03.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
19.11.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
20.01.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
2-0
AWAY Navalcarnero
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes got the better of Navalcarnero 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Navalcarnero at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SS Reyes had 56% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 44%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SS Reyes and 1.00 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero?

SS Reyes 2-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated an Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 32%, draw 27%, Navalcarnero 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Navalcarnero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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