Real Madrid III 2-1 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-7.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.8pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.45/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.35
+29% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid III
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Illescas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Illescas 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III squeezed past Illescas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid III as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs Illescas?

Real Madrid III 2-1 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 63%, draw 21%, Illescas 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid III) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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