Union Sur Yaiza 3-3 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.85/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +102%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Sur Yaiza
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Conquense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Conquense Conquense 4-1 HT 1-0 Union Sur Yaiza İS4
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Sur Yaiza and Conquense shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Conquense?

Union Sur Yaiza 3-3 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 36%, draw 29%, Conquense 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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