Union Adarve 3-1 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.13/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/0.00
+8% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CD Coria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2024 CD Coria CD Coria 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
29.01.2023 CD Coria CD Coria 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
11.09.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve saw off CD Coria 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Coria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Coria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Adarve and 1.00 for CD Coria.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs CD Coria?

Union Adarve 3-1 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Coria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 30%, draw 27%, CD Coria 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Coria) ✗ Under 2.5
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