CD Guadalajara 2-3 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.3pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.79/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.34
+38% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
217 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2024 Colonia Moscardo 1-3 HT 1-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-3
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo squeezed past CD Guadalajara 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CD Guadalajara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 56% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 44%, shots finished 16-19.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Colonia Moscardo?

CD Guadalajara 2-3 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 41%, draw 26%, Colonia Moscardo 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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