Conquense 4-1 Union Sur Yaiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.0pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 27%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/5.00
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -76%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Conquense
4-1
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Union Sur Yaiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense ran out comfortable winners over Union Sur Yaiza 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Conquense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Conquense had 43% of the ball to Union Sur Yaiza's 57%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Conquense 4-1 Union Sur Yaiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Conquense 40%, draw 34%, Union Sur Yaiza 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Conquense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Conquense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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