Atlético Paso 2-3 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -20%
1.25/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.00
+19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Melilla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.01.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-1 HT 1-1 Melilla Melilla İS4
04.09.2022 Melilla Melilla 2-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
2-3
AWAY Melilla
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla edged past Atlético Paso 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Melilla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 51% of the ball to Melilla's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melilla led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atlético Paso and 1.50 for Melilla.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Melilla?

Atlético Paso 2-3 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 32%, draw 34%, Melilla 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
22 Dec 2024
13:30 Zaragoza II vs Deportivo Alaves II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Linense Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Cacereno Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Talavera CF Analysis →
14:00 Conquense vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Tenerife II Analysis →