Mostoles 2-3 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.1pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.77/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/0.66
-20% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
2-3
AWAY Talavera CF
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF nicked a narrow win over Mostoles 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostoles had 49% of the ball to Talavera CF's 51%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Talavera CF?

Mostoles 2-3 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 29%, draw 20%, Talavera CF 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
22 Dec 2024
13:30 Zaragoza II vs Deportivo Alaves II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Linense Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Cacereno Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Melilla Analysis →
14:00 Conquense vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Tenerife II Analysis →