Illescas 0-1 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Dec 2024

Illescas
0-1 HT 0-1
Real Madrid III
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Illescas vs Real Madrid III Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Illescas v Real Madrid III — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.33
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Illescas 0-1 Real Madrid III — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid III
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III edged past Illescas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid III found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Illescas had 48% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 52%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Real Madrid III?

Illescas 0-1 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Illescas 37%, draw 32%, Real Madrid III 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Illescas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illescas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
22 Dec 2024
13:30 Zaragoza II vs Deportivo Alaves II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Linense Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Cacereno Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Melilla Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Talavera CF Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Tenerife II Analysis →