Navalcarnero 1-1 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.19/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.37
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
0W-2D-0L
AWAY SS Reyes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
20.01.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
1-1
AWAY SS Reyes
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero and SS Reyes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 51% of the ball to SS Reyes's 49%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Navalcarnero and 0.50 for SS Reyes.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes?

Navalcarnero 1-1 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 33%, draw 30%, SS Reyes 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SS Reyes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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