Navalcarnero 2-0 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.34/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.52
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
0W-3D-0L
AWAY SS Reyes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
19.11.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
20.01.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
2-0
AWAY SS Reyes
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero beat SS Reyes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Navalcarnero found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 42% of the ball to SS Reyes's 58%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Navalcarnero and 0.67 for SS Reyes.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes?

Navalcarnero 2-0 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 37%, draw 30%, SS Reyes 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5
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