Carrarese vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carrarese v Avellino — Team-Based Signals
Carrarese 3-4 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino squeezed past Carrarese 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Avellino made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Carrarese had 58% of the ball to Avellino's 42%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.74 to 1.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Carrarese.
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Avellino?
Carrarese 3-4 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Avellino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 39%, draw 27%, Avellino 34%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.