Padova Calcio 2-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
5.55
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
5.2
X/2
10%
5.58
X/X
19%
3.42
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.41
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
0.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.43
-71% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.4 Crosses 19.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.05.2025 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
03.11.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
2-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.38 xG 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
365 Passes 241
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio edged past Virtus Entella 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Padova Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 58% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 42%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.00 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Virtus Entella?

Padova Calcio 2-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 37%, draw 32%, Virtus Entella 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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