Pescara 4-0 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Sep 2025

Pescara
4-0 HT 0-0
Empoli
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Pescara vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.21
6+ Goals
11%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
11%
6.24
X/2
10%
4.89
X/X
9%
4.02
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.28
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pescara v Empoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.06/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.42
-2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.1 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Pescara vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Empoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 447
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2021 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
17.10.2020 Pescara Pescara 1-2 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
29.06.2020 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
09.11.2019 Empoli Empoli 1-2 HT 1-2 Pescara Pescara İTB
18.08.2019 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTK
25.03.2018 Pescara Pescara 0-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB

Pescara 4-0 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
4-0
AWAY Empoli
1.50 xG 0.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
212 Passes 254
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara swept aside Empoli 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pescara had 45% of the ball to Empoli's 55%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.50 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pescara and 1.17 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Empoli?

Pescara 4-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie B on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pescara 33%, draw 25%, Empoli 42%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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