Padova Calcio 0-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
0.83/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.79
-34% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
0-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella squeezed past Padova Calcio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Virtus Entella found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 52% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 48%, shots finished 8-22.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Virtus Entella?

Padova Calcio 0-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 40%, draw 29%, Virtus Entella 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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