Triestina 0-0 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 31% vs market 29.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.34/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.24
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Caldiero Terme
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Caldiero Terme 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
11.01.2025 Caldiero Terme 0-2 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
08.09.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-1 Caldiero Terme İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0-0
AWAY Caldiero Terme
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and Caldiero Terme played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Triestina had 57% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 43%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Triestina and 0.33 for Caldiero Terme.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Caldiero Terme?

Triestina 0-0 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Triestina 53%, draw 25%, Caldiero Terme 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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