SPAL 2-0 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.40/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
+6% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Milan II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Milan II Milan II 1-0 HT 1-0 SPAL SPAL İTC
01.02.2025 SPAL SPAL 1-2 HT 0-1 Milan II Milan II İTC
26.09.2024 Milan II Milan II 2-1 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
2-0
AWAY Milan II
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL beat Milan II 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; SPAL found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SPAL had 34% of the ball to Milan II's 66%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Milan II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SPAL and 1.67 for Milan II.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Milan II?

SPAL 2-0 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SPAL 36%, draw 29%, Milan II 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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